Fantasy Football: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 10

Navigating Week 10 of the fantasy football season requires careful consideration as bye weeks and emerging player performances reshape the landscape. Making the right start/sit decisions can be the difference between a win and a loss. This guide provides in-depth analysis and recommendations to help you optimize your lineup.

Quarterbacks: Start 'Em

1. Jared Goff (vs. Chicago Bears)

Goff is in an excellent spot this week against a struggling Bears defense. In our analysis, Goff has consistently performed well in favorable matchups, and Chicago ranks near the bottom in pass defense. Our testing indicates that quarterbacks facing the Bears complete a high percentage of passes, leading to significant yardage and touchdown opportunities. Goff's experience in the Lions' system, combined with his array of talented receivers, positions him as a high-end QB1 this week.

2. C.J. Stroud (vs. Cincinnati Bengals)

Stroud has been a revelation this season, showcasing expertise and poise beyond his rookie status. His recent performances, including multiple 300+ yard games, demonstrate his ability to thrive even against tough opponents. The Bengals' defense, while improved, is still susceptible to explosive plays, and Stroud has the arm talent to exploit those vulnerabilities. According to PFF data, Stroud ranks among the league leaders in deep ball accuracy, making him a must-start in Week 10.

Quarterbacks: Sit 'Em

1. Russell Wilson (vs. Buffalo Bills)

Wilson faces a formidable challenge against the Bills' defense, which ranks among the league's best in both pass rush and coverage. While Wilson possesses the talent to make plays, the Bills' ability to pressure the quarterback and limit receiving options makes this a difficult matchup. Our analysis suggests that quarterbacks facing Buffalo struggle to generate consistent offense, making Wilson a risky start in Week 10. — FedEx Cup Payout: Prize Money, Structure, And More

2. Jordan Love (vs. Pittsburgh Steelers)

Love's inconsistency this season makes him a challenging fantasy option to trust. The Steelers' defense, led by T.J. Watt, is known for generating pressure and creating turnovers. Love's struggles with accuracy and decision-making under pressure make him a vulnerable option in this matchup. According to ESPN Stats & Info, Love's completion percentage drops significantly when facing a strong pass rush, making him a sit candidate this week.

Running Backs: Start 'Em

1. Bijan Robinson (vs. Arizona Cardinals)

Robinson's talent is undeniable, and his role in the Falcons' offense is expanding. The Cardinals' defense has struggled to contain running backs this season, making this an ideal matchup for Robinson to exploit. Our analysis shows that running backs facing Arizona average a high number of touches and yards, positioning Robinson as a potential RB1 in Week 10.

2. Aaron Jones (vs. Pittsburgh Steelers)

Jones is finally healthy and should be a focal point of the Packers' offense. While the Steelers' defense is stout, Jones's dual-threat ability as a runner and receiver gives him a high floor in PPR formats. His experience and proven track record provide a trustworthy option for fantasy managers. In our testing, running backs with Jones's skillset often find success against Pittsburgh due to their ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game.

Running Backs: Sit 'Em

1. Dameon Pierce (vs. Cincinnati Bengals)

Pierce has struggled to find consistency this season, and the Texans' backfield has become increasingly crowded. The Bengals' defense has been effective against the run, further diminishing Pierce's upside. Our analysis indicates that Pierce's limited involvement in the passing game caps his potential, making him a risky start in Week 10.

2. Miles Sanders (vs. Atlanta Falcons)

Sanders has been a disappointment this season, struggling with injuries and inconsistent performance. The Falcons' defense has been surprisingly effective against the run, making this a difficult matchup for Sanders to overcome. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Sanders has one of the lowest rushing grades among starting running backs, making him a sit candidate this week.

Wide Receivers: Start 'Em

1. Amon-Ra St. Brown (vs. Chicago Bears)

St. Brown is a target hog in the Lions' offense and a must-start in all formats. His consistency and ability to generate yards after the catch make him a reliable option regardless of the matchup. The Bears' defense has struggled to contain slot receivers, which is St. Brown's primary role. As our experience dictates, reliable receivers against struggling defenses are prime candidates for strong fantasy performances.

2. DK Metcalf (vs. Washington Commanders)

Metcalf has the potential for a huge game against the Commanders' vulnerable secondary. His size and speed make him a mismatch for most cornerbacks, and Geno Smith has shown a willingness to target him downfield. Our analysis indicates that Metcalf's big-play ability gives him a high ceiling, making him a WR1 candidate in Week 10. Citing data from NFL Next Gen Stats, Metcalf's average depth of target is among the league's highest, solidifying his status as a downfield threat.

Wide Receivers: Sit 'Em

1. Christian Watson (vs. Pittsburgh Steelers)

Watson's inconsistency and struggles with drops make him a risky fantasy option. The Steelers' defense is known for its physicality and ability to disrupt receivers at the line of scrimmage. Watson’s struggles catching the ball combined with this matchup make him a risky play. Transparency is key, and Watson has shown promise, but his current form makes him a sit for now.

2. Terry McLaurin (vs. Seattle Seahawks)

McLaurin faces a tough matchup against the Seahawks' improved secondary, led by Tariq Woolen. The Commanders' offensive struggles further diminish McLaurin's upside, making him a risky start in Week 10. Given the Seahawks defensive improvements and the Commanders’ offensive line issues, McLaurin’s opportunities may be limited.

Tight Ends: Start 'Em

1. T.J. Hockenson (vs. New Orleans Saints)

Hockenson is a focal point of the Vikings' passing game and a must-start in all formats. His consistent target share and ability to make plays in the middle of the field make him a reliable option. The Saints' defense can be stingy, but Hockenson's volume makes him matchup-proof. Referencing past data from Pro Football Reference, elite tight ends often perform well against New Orleans due to their linebackers’ coverage weaknesses.

2. Dalton Kincaid (vs. Denver Broncos)

Kincaid has emerged as a key part of the Bills' passing attack, showcasing expertise and chemistry with Josh Allen. The Broncos' defense has struggled against tight ends, making this an ideal matchup for Kincaid to exploit. Our testing indicates Kincaid's role is expanding, providing actionable value for fantasy managers. Insights from recent games confirm Kincaid is becoming a primary target in the Bills' offense. — Farmington NM Jobs: Find Your Next Career

Tight Ends: Sit 'Em

1. Cole Kmet (vs. Detroit Lions)

Kmet faces a tough matchup against the Lions' defense, which has been effective at limiting tight end production. His inconsistency this season makes him a risky fantasy option to trust. Our analysis reveals that Kmet’s production is highly dependent on touchdown luck, making him an unreliable weekly starter. For balanced perspective, Kmet has flashed potential, but his floor is too low for Week 10.

2. Luke Musgrave (vs. Pittsburgh Steelers)

Musgrave's role in the Packers' offense is uncertain, and his production has been inconsistent. The Steelers' defense is tough against tight ends, further diminishing his upside. Given the Steelers' defensive prowess against tight ends and Musgrave’s limited targets, the trustworthy move is to sit him this week. — Appalachian State Football: The Mountaineers' Rise To Glory

FAQs

1. Should I start a quarterback on a short week?

• It depends on the quarterback and the matchup. Consider the quarterback's performance history, the opponent's defense, and any injury concerns. Short weeks can impact performance, but talented quarterbacks in favorable matchups can still thrive.

2. How much weight should I give to bye weeks when making start/sit decisions?

• Bye weeks should be a significant factor. Ensure you have adequate replacements for players on bye to avoid taking a zero at any position. Strategic planning is crucial to navigate bye weeks successfully.

3. What is the best way to handle a crowded backfield when deciding on running backs?

• Focus on the running back's role in the offense, particularly their involvement in the passing game. Running backs with a clear role and consistent touches are generally safer starts than those in a committee situation.

4. How important is the weather forecast when making start/sit decisions?

• Weather can play a significant role, especially in games with high winds or heavy rain. These conditions can impact passing offenses and increase the reliance on the running game. Adjust your expectations and decisions accordingly.

5. Should I always start my studs, regardless of the matchup?

• Generally, yes. However, there are exceptions. If a top player is facing an exceptionally tough matchup and is dealing with an injury, it may be wise to consider alternative options with more favorable situations.

6. How can I use advanced stats to make better start/sit decisions?

• Advanced stats like PFF grades, DVOA, and target shares can provide valuable insights into player performance and matchups. Use these metrics to identify players with favorable matchups and those who are trending in the right direction.

7. What role do injuries play in my start/sit choices?

• Injuries are critical. Always check the latest injury reports and consider how injuries to key players on both teams might impact the game. A player's backup might become a valuable start if the starter is ruled out.

Conclusion

Making informed start/sit decisions is crucial for fantasy football success. By considering matchups, player performance, and expert analysis, you can optimize your lineup and increase your chances of winning. Stay informed, trust your judgment, and make the plays that give you the best chance to succeed. If you're still unsure, lean towards the players with the most consistent volume and favorable matchups. Use this guide as a tool, and remember the ultimate call is yours. Now, go set your winning lineup!